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Impact of ENSO-related rainfall variability on soybean yield in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. Abstract: Rio Grande do Sul (RS) presents a known year-on-year unevenness for soybean production, mainly due to water availability. This study aimed to assess the climate effects, with special focus o... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2022
Contrasting carbon cycle responses to dry (2015 El Niño) and wet (2008 La Niña) extreme events at an Amazon tropical forest. Land surface models diverge in their predictions of the Amazon forest's response to climate change-induced droughts, with some showing a catastrophic collapse of forests, while others simulating resil... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2024
Using a Bayesian model for estimating air borne infection risks: Fusarium head blight. Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2016
A model-based assessment of the impacts of climate variability on fusarium head blight seasonal risk in southern Brazil. Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2009
SAS codes for quantifying influence of the El Niño/Southern oscillation phenomenon on climate variable distributions. El Niño/Southern oscillation (ENSO) is an oceanic/athmospheric phenomenon related to warming or cooling of the Equatorial Pacific Ocean, known to influence climate variables worldwide via teleconnecti... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2016
Probabilistic methods for seasonal forecasting in a changing climate: Cox-type regression models. For climate risk management, cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) are an important source of information. They are ideally suited to compare probabilistic forecasts of primary (e.g. rainfall) or s... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2009
Better statistics to assess the quality of analogue-based forecast systems. Seasonal probabilistic forecast systems (SPFS) based on the analogue years approach (AYA) are used worldwide and provide valuable information for decision makers managing climate-sensitive systems (Si... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2006
Quantifying climate-related risks and uncertainties using Cox regression models. For applied climate risk management the probability distributions of decision variables such as rainfall, likely dates of climatic events (e.g. frost, onset of the wet season), crop yields or economic... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2008
Total OH reactivity changes over the Amazon rainforest during an El Niño event. The 2015/16 El Niño event caused unprecedented drought and warming in the Amazon basin. How tropical forests react to such extreme events in terms of volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions is of in... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2018
Variation in seed harvest potential of Carapa guianensis Aublet in the Brazilian Amazon: a multi-year, multi-region study of determinants of mast seeding and seed quantity. This work augments research on masting for the economically important tropical tree Carapa guianensis Aublet, specifically on whether determinants of mast years vary regionally, spatially, and due to... ... Repository: BDPA Publication year: 2021

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